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ISM Manufacturing Index Overview, How it Works

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The ISM Manufacturing Index is published monthly and is an important leading indicator of the U.S. economy. The reason that this economic indicator is forward-looking is how far ahead purchasing decisions need to be made for future manufacturing needs. As such, it is widely followed by economists, analysts, https://www.topforexnews.org/investing/2-top-value-stocks-to-buy-right-now/ government, business leaders, and supply management professionals. By monitoring the ISM manufacturing index, investors can better understand national economic trends and conditions. When the index is rising, investors anticipate a bullish stock market in reaction to higher corporate profits.

When the index is greater than expected, it bodes well for the stock market because it indicates healthy economic growth, which translates to higher corporate profits. Through monitoring the ISM Manufacturing Index and comparing it to consensus estimates, investors gain a better understanding of economic trends and conditions. As a result, any deviation from consensus is viewed as a surprise, providing investors with a trading opportunity. Survey respondents are asked whether activities in their organizations are increasing, decreasing, or stagnant.

The PMI is a composite index used only in the Manufacturing Report on Business. Prior to September 1, 2001, the acronym (PMI) stood for Purchasing Managers’ Index. ISM now uses only the acronym, PMI, due to ISM’s name change and concurrent move to broaden our reach into strategic supply management beyond the purchasing function. A PMI index over 50 represents growth or expansion within the manufacturing sector of the economy compared with the prior month.

The diffusion index includes the percent of positive responses plus one-half of those responding the same (considered positive). Department of Commerce and are subject annually to relatively minor changes when conditions warrant them. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of experiencing investment https://www.forex-world.net/currency-pairs/eur-czk/ losses. Margin trading increases risk of loss and includes the possibility of a forced sale if account equity drops below required levels. Margin trading privileges are subject to Webull Financial, LLC review and approval. Leverage carries a high level of risk and is not suitable for all investors.

  1. As a result, any deviation from consensus is viewed as a surprise, providing investors with a trading opportunity.
  2. The prices paid for services and goods by companies can be an indicator of inflation, which is a measure of how much prices increase in an economy.
  3. This data, accompanied by two consecutive GDP declines, led to heated talks of recession in the market.
  4. However, as the economic slowdown could well be caused by the interest rate hike, the market was also hoping that Fed could step in and bring back economy growth once again.

In the last two months of 2022, the ISM PMI dropped below 50 following a long period of expansion. This data, accompanied by two consecutive GDP declines, led to heated talks of recession in the market. However, as the economic slowdown could well be caused by the interest rate hike, the market was also hoping that Fed could step in and bring back economy growth once again. When the PMI is above 50, it indicates the economy (at least, the manufacturing section) is expanding—a growing economy can help create a bull market.

How does the PMI relate to the stock market?

A country’s economy is often determined by its supply chain, as a result, the monthly ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI economic news releases are carefully watched by forex traders around the world. The Institute for Supply Management’s monthly Manufacturing PMI Report on Business outlines directional trends for several manufacturing indexes. This report details month-over-month changes in growth or contraction in addition to reporting how long each index has been moving in its current direction. The ISM Manufacturing Index is useful in understanding the direction of economic activity from the lens of the country’s primary manufacturing companies.

The opposite is the case in the bond markets, which may fall as the ISM Manufacturing Index rises because of the sensitivity of bonds to inflation. The ISM Services report also shows which service industries reported an increase in prices paid for various raw materials and goods. The price paid could also include services that companies needed, such as software services. The prices paid for services and goods by companies can be an indicator of inflation, which is a measure of how much prices increase in an economy. If businesses are paying higher prices, it’s likely inflation is occurring. Higher prices could also be an indicator of a shortage in supply for particular goods.

Construction of the ISM Manufacturing Index

It could also be used to predict the movement of the economy, and thus the stock market, if combined with other economic indicators. The ISM manufacturing index, also known as the purchasing managers’ index (PMI), is a monthly indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a survey of purchasing eurcad=x interactive stock chart managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms. Formally called the Manufacturing ISM Report on Business, the survey is conducted by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The Purchasing Managers Index is a diffusion index summarizing economic activity in the manufacturing sector in the US.

What Is the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index?

All information and data on the website is for reference only and no historical data shall be considered as the basis for judging future trends. Market volatility, volume and system availability may delay account access and trade executions. The example above from December 2022 was the first time since May 2022 that the manufacturing sector had contracted. The first three columns from the report indicate the most recent findings from the survey as well as the month-over-month change in each index. The report also signals the rate of change in addition to longer-term trends (how long each index has been moving in any given direction in terms of months). The ISM Services PMI comes out in the first week of each month and provides a detailed view of the U.S. economy from a non-manufacturing standpoint.

We and our partners process data to provide:

The monthly announcement of the ISM manufacturing index can greatly influence investor and business confidence. This is because the index is a survey of purchasing managers and supply management executives who are at the forefront of their companies’ supply chains. Purchasing managers are in the best position to assess the ebb and flow of business conditions. The manufacturers they work for must respond quickly to changes in demand, ramping up or scaling back purchases of materials they use in anticipation of demand for their finished products.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI is at a current level of 47.80, down from 49.10 last month and up from 47.70 one year ago. Securities trading is offered to self-directed customers by Webull Financial LLC, a broker dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Webull Financial LLC is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and Cboe EDGX Exchange, Inc (CBOE EDGX). The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is similar, though it covers services instead of products. This index is not as closely followed as its counterpart—it’s not as volatile, usually making it more predictable. Traders often choose the Euro as the “anti-dollar” to take advantage of capital flows between two of the largest economies.

The ISM Services report contains the economic activity of more than 15 industries. Leveraged trading in foreign currency or off-exchange products on margin carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. It is not a solicitation or a recommendation to trade derivatives contracts or securities and should not be construed or interpreted as financial advice.

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Gorontalo Utara

Pakar Siber: “Yang Ditangkap Bukan Bjorka Asli”

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Penangkapan hacker kontroversial Bjorka oleh Polda Metro Jaya pada Kamis (2/10/2025) terus menuai keraguan warganet. Meski polisi mengumumkan penangkapan WFT (22), akun Instagram yang diklaim milik Bjorka masih aktif membantah dan bahkan membocorkan data Badan Gizi Nasional. Reaksi warganet di X (Twitter) pun langsung membanjiri linimasa.

“Ketika Bjorka up story IG, lalu siapa yang ditangkap???” tanya akun @Opposisi6890, mendapatkan ratusan like dan repost. Tidak sedikit yang menganggap penangkapan ini sekadar pengalihan isu. “@baratieee_ menulis, ‘Soal hengker bjorka yang ketangkap itu, filling gw sih cuman buat pengalihan isu. Yakin gw bukan hengker bjorka asli itu.'” Sementara, @yusabdul menyoroti, “Bjorka yang sesungguhnya adalah orang dalam yang berani bayar ke pemilik server database instansi/perusahaan, termasuk Dukcapil. Gak mungkin bocah umur belasan tahun.”

Pakarnya, Teguh Aprianto, pendiri Ethical Hacker Indonesia, juga angkat suara, “Polisi dengan pedenya bilang kalau mereka nangkap Bjorka terus konpers seakan-akan yang ditangkap itu kasus yang wah banget. Padahal yang ditangkap itu cuma bocah yang selama ini ngaku-ngaku jadi Bjorka dan bocah yang suka repost thread orang lain.”

Penangkapan berawal dari laporan bank swasta tentang pembocoran data 4,9 juta akun nasabah yang diunggah akun X @bjorkanesiaa. “Peran dari tersangka, yang bersangkutan adalah pemilik akun media sosial X dengan nama Bjorka dan @bjorkanesiaa,” jelas AKBP Reonald Simanjuntak, Kasubbid Penmas Bidhumas Polda Metro Jaya.

Menurut AKBP Fian Yunus, penyelidikan terhadap WFT telah berjalan enam bulan. “Pelaku ini bermain di dark web sejak 2020, mengeksplor berbagai forum gelap tempat jual beli data,” ungkapnya.

AKBP Herman Edco menambahkan, “Selain data bank, WFT juga diduga memperoleh data ilegal dari sektor kesehatan dan perusahaan swasta di Indonesia. Data-data itu dijual di media sosial dengan harga mencapai puluhan juta rupiah. Motif pelaku adalah pemerasan, meski belum sempat terjadi. Barang bukti berupa komputer dan ponsel yang digunakan sudah diamankan.”

WFT kini dijerat Pasal 46 jo Pasal 30 dan/atau Pasal 48 jo Pasal 32 dan/atau Pasal 51 ayat (1) jo Pasal 35 UU ITE, dengan ancaman hingga 12 tahun penjara.

Namun, pihak kepolisian sendiri belum memastikan apakah WFT adalah Bjorka asli yang kerap membocorkan data pemerintah sejak 2022. “Everybody can be anybody on the internet,” kata AKBP Fian Yunus.

Kasus ini mengingatkan pada penangkapan serupa sebelumnya yang juga menimbulkan keraguan publik. Sebuah sumber internasional, The Jakarta Post, menulis bahwa identitas Bjorka tetap sulit dipastikan dan bahwa “identitas pelaku yang sebenarnya belum terkonfirmasi karena siapapun bisa mengatasnamakan Bjorka di internet”. banyak yang menyoroti aktivitas Bjorka di dark web sejak 2020 dan ancaman pidana maksimal yang kini dihadapinya.

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Netizen Heboh! Bangunan mirip toilet di Boyolali telan anggaran 112 juta

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Sebuah bangunan kecil di pinggir area persawahan Kecamatan Ngemplak, Kabupaten Boyolali, baru-baru ini menjadi sorotan publik setelah diketahui dibangun dengan anggaran Rp 112,8 juta. Bangunan berukuran sekitar 1,5 x 1,5 meter ini memiliki dinding bata yang telah diplester dan diaci rapi, namun belum dicat. Ventilasi menggunakan roster, atap dari galvalum, dan pintu terbuat dari triplek lapis seng. Halaman depan dilapisi rabat beton agar terlihat lebih rapi.

Wildan, kontraktor dari Rebwild Construction, menilai bahwa biaya sebesar Rp 25 juta sudah cukup untuk membangun bangunan serupa, termasuk fondasi bawah dan pemasangan bor sumur. “Rp 25 juta juga cukup, mahal malah. Fondasi bawahnya pun sudah, kalau sama bor sumurnya masih masuk kayaknya, Rp 25 juta sudah sampai terbangun,” jelas Wildan.

Namun, anggaran Rp 112,8 juta tersebut mencakup keseluruhan paket kegiatan irigasi perpompaan yang memiliki manfaat langsung bagi petani. Sekretaris Dinas Pertanian Boyolali, Retno Nawangtari, menjelaskan bahwa anggaran tersebut termasuk pembuatan sumur bor, pembelian mesin pompa, pemasangan pipa, instalasi listrik, dan pembangunan rumah pompa. “Paling banyak anggaran untuk pembuatan sumur dalam,” kata Retno.

Kepala Dinas Pertanian Kabupaten Boyolali, Suyanta, menambahkan bahwa kegiatan pembangunan irigasi perpompaan ini dilakukan secara swakelola oleh kelompok tani penerima manfaat. “Perlu ditegaskan bahwa kegiatan Irpom Tahun 2024 ini bukan dilaksanakan langsung oleh Dinas (Pertanian), melainkan melalui mekanisme swakelola oleh kelompok tani penerima manfaat, sesuai ketentuan peraturan perundang-undangan,” katanya.

Lokasi bangunan kecil ini berada di pinggir areal persawahan wilayah Desa Gagaksipat, Kecamatan Ngemplak, Kabupaten Boyolali. Tepatnya di sebelah utara landasan pacu Bandara Adi Soemarmo. Bangunan ini cukup mudah ditemukan karena berada persis di pinggir jalan raya ruas Mangu-Donohudan yang menghubungkan Bandara dan Asrama Haji Donohudan.

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Bongkar! Mahfud MD Jelaskan Solusi Pemerintahan Agar Roda Negara Kembali Lancar

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Jakarta – Prof. Mahfud MD mengulas secara mendalam situasi demonstrasi yang sempat mencekam di berbagai kota Indonesia pada akhir Agustus 2025. Mahfud MD menegaskan bahwa walaupun kekerasan telah berhasil diredam terutama berkat langkah tegas Presiden Prabowo, masalah mendasar yang menjadi pemicu demonstrasi belum terselesaikan.

Demo yang awalnya dipicu oleh kebijakan pemerintah ini melahirkan kerusuhan hebat, termasuk pembakaran gedung DPR, korban jiwa, dan kerusakan harta benda. Situasi mulai membaik sejak Minggu malam dengan belum ada demonstrasi besar menggantikan.

Masalah utama yang belum dijawab adalah akumulasi berbagai persoalan sosial dan ekonomi, seperti tingginya angka PHK dan pengangguran, serta persoalan pajak dan pungutan yang memicu ketidakpuasan masyarakat. Penegakan hukum yang lemah, praktik kriminalisasi, politisasi hukum, serta kasus korupsi yang tidak jelas penyelesaiannya semakin memperparah kepercayaan publik terhadap pemerintah.

dikutip dari podcast Terus Terang bersama Mahfud MD, dia menyatakan bahwa penegakan hukum yang masih kacau membuat sulitnya mencari investor karena reputasi hukum yang buruk. Ia juga menyoroti peran ormas Islam yang dianggap telah jauh dari rakyat dan terlalu dekat dengan pemerintah sehingga tidak menjalankan perannya sebagai pemandu moral masyarakat secara tepat.

Pentingnya reformasi KPK dan sinergi aparatur negara dalam penegakan hukum juga menjadi sorotan utama untuk membangun pemerintahan yang profesional dan bersih. Selain itu, Mahfud MD mengkritik kabinet yang dianggap terlalu besar dan banyak pejabat bermasalah hukum, sehingga melemahkan kerja pemerintah.

Mahfud MD mengingatkan pentingnya kepemimpinan yang berani menerima kritik jujur dan penegakan hukum yang tegas agar negara ini bisa selamat dari masalah panjang yang melekat dalam pemerintahan.

Dalam kesempatan itu, Mahfud MD berbagi pengalamannya berani menyampaikan kritik langsung kepada Presiden Jokowi terkait sejumlah kasus besar seperti BLBI, menunjukkan pentingnya keberanian menyuarakan kebenaran demi kebaikan bangsa.

Ia mengharapkan Presiden Prabowo dapat mengambil langkah cepat menyelesaikan masalah hukum dan evaluasi kabinet untuk memenuhi aspirasi masyarakat agar roda pemerintahan kembali berjalan efektif.

Selain itu, Mahfud MD juga menanggapi sikap pemerintah terhadap demonstrasi, menegaskan bahwa TNI dan Polri harus bertindak tegas sesuai hukum namun tetap menghormati kebebasan berpendapat di Indonesia.

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