Connect with us

Gorontalo Utara

ISM Manufacturing Index Overview, How it Works

Published

on

The ISM Manufacturing Index is published monthly and is an important leading indicator of the U.S. economy. The reason that this economic indicator is forward-looking is how far ahead purchasing decisions need to be made for future manufacturing needs. As such, it is widely followed by economists, analysts, https://www.topforexnews.org/investing/2-top-value-stocks-to-buy-right-now/ government, business leaders, and supply management professionals. By monitoring the ISM manufacturing index, investors can better understand national economic trends and conditions. When the index is rising, investors anticipate a bullish stock market in reaction to higher corporate profits.

When the index is greater than expected, it bodes well for the stock market because it indicates healthy economic growth, which translates to higher corporate profits. Through monitoring the ISM Manufacturing Index and comparing it to consensus estimates, investors gain a better understanding of economic trends and conditions. As a result, any deviation from consensus is viewed as a surprise, providing investors with a trading opportunity. Survey respondents are asked whether activities in their organizations are increasing, decreasing, or stagnant.

The PMI is a composite index used only in the Manufacturing Report on Business. Prior to September 1, 2001, the acronym (PMI) stood for Purchasing Managers’ Index. ISM now uses only the acronym, PMI, due to ISM’s name change and concurrent move to broaden our reach into strategic supply management beyond the purchasing function. A PMI index over 50 represents growth or expansion within the manufacturing sector of the economy compared with the prior month.

The diffusion index includes the percent of positive responses plus one-half of those responding the same (considered positive). Department of Commerce and are subject annually to relatively minor changes when conditions warrant them. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of experiencing investment https://www.forex-world.net/currency-pairs/eur-czk/ losses. Margin trading increases risk of loss and includes the possibility of a forced sale if account equity drops below required levels. Margin trading privileges are subject to Webull Financial, LLC review and approval. Leverage carries a high level of risk and is not suitable for all investors.

  1. As a result, any deviation from consensus is viewed as a surprise, providing investors with a trading opportunity.
  2. The prices paid for services and goods by companies can be an indicator of inflation, which is a measure of how much prices increase in an economy.
  3. This data, accompanied by two consecutive GDP declines, led to heated talks of recession in the market.
  4. However, as the economic slowdown could well be caused by the interest rate hike, the market was also hoping that Fed could step in and bring back economy growth once again.

In the last two months of 2022, the ISM PMI dropped below 50 following a long period of expansion. This data, accompanied by two consecutive GDP declines, led to heated talks of recession in the market. However, as the economic slowdown could well be caused by the interest rate hike, the market was also hoping that Fed could step in and bring back economy growth once again. When the PMI is above 50, it indicates the economy (at least, the manufacturing section) is expanding—a growing economy can help create a bull market.

How does the PMI relate to the stock market?

A country’s economy is often determined by its supply chain, as a result, the monthly ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI economic news releases are carefully watched by forex traders around the world. The Institute for Supply Management’s monthly Manufacturing PMI Report on Business outlines directional trends for several manufacturing indexes. This report details month-over-month changes in growth or contraction in addition to reporting how long each index has been moving in its current direction. The ISM Manufacturing Index is useful in understanding the direction of economic activity from the lens of the country’s primary manufacturing companies.

The opposite is the case in the bond markets, which may fall as the ISM Manufacturing Index rises because of the sensitivity of bonds to inflation. The ISM Services report also shows which service industries reported an increase in prices paid for various raw materials and goods. The price paid could also include services that companies needed, such as software services. The prices paid for services and goods by companies can be an indicator of inflation, which is a measure of how much prices increase in an economy. If businesses are paying higher prices, it’s likely inflation is occurring. Higher prices could also be an indicator of a shortage in supply for particular goods.

Construction of the ISM Manufacturing Index

It could also be used to predict the movement of the economy, and thus the stock market, if combined with other economic indicators. The ISM manufacturing index, also known as the purchasing managers’ index (PMI), is a monthly indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a survey of purchasing eurcad=x interactive stock chart managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms. Formally called the Manufacturing ISM Report on Business, the survey is conducted by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The Purchasing Managers Index is a diffusion index summarizing economic activity in the manufacturing sector in the US.

What Is the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index?

All information and data on the website is for reference only and no historical data shall be considered as the basis for judging future trends. Market volatility, volume and system availability may delay account access and trade executions. The example above from December 2022 was the first time since May 2022 that the manufacturing sector had contracted. The first three columns from the report indicate the most recent findings from the survey as well as the month-over-month change in each index. The report also signals the rate of change in addition to longer-term trends (how long each index has been moving in any given direction in terms of months). The ISM Services PMI comes out in the first week of each month and provides a detailed view of the U.S. economy from a non-manufacturing standpoint.

We and our partners process data to provide:

The monthly announcement of the ISM manufacturing index can greatly influence investor and business confidence. This is because the index is a survey of purchasing managers and supply management executives who are at the forefront of their companies’ supply chains. Purchasing managers are in the best position to assess the ebb and flow of business conditions. The manufacturers they work for must respond quickly to changes in demand, ramping up or scaling back purchases of materials they use in anticipation of demand for their finished products.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI is at a current level of 47.80, down from 49.10 last month and up from 47.70 one year ago. Securities trading is offered to self-directed customers by Webull Financial LLC, a broker dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Webull Financial LLC is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and Cboe EDGX Exchange, Inc (CBOE EDGX). The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is similar, though it covers services instead of products. This index is not as closely followed as its counterpart—it’s not as volatile, usually making it more predictable. Traders often choose the Euro as the “anti-dollar” to take advantage of capital flows between two of the largest economies.

The ISM Services report contains the economic activity of more than 15 industries. Leveraged trading in foreign currency or off-exchange products on margin carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. It is not a solicitation or a recommendation to trade derivatives contracts or securities and should not be construed or interpreted as financial advice.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Gorontalo

Menolak Lupa: Tragedi 2 Januari 2025, Ketika Keadilan untuk Julia Belum Datang

Published

on

Misteri Kematian Julia Shinta: 11 Bulan Tanpa Titik Terang

Gorontalo – Sebelas bulan telah berlalu sejak tragedi memilukan yang menimpa seorang gadis muda bernama Julia Shinta Sangala, warga Kabupaten Gorontalo Utara. Pada 2 Januari 2025, jasad Julia ditemukan oleh seorang penggembala sapi di area semak-semak sepi di Desa Ketapang, Kecamatan Gentuma Raya. Penemuan itu seharusnya menjadi awal dari proses pengungkapan kebenaran dan penegakan keadilan bagi keluarga korban.

Sehari setelah penemuan, keluarga Julia melapor secara resmi ke Polres Gorontalo Utara. Dengan harapan besar, mereka mempercayakan penegakan hukum kepada pihak berwenang agar pelaku dapat segera ditemukan. Namun, waktu berjalan begitu lama tanpa perubahan berarti dalam proses penyidikan.

Sebelas Bulan Dalam Penantian Keadilan

Kini, 11 bulan telah berlalu, dan kasus tersebut masih menyandang status “dalam tahap penyidikan”. Tidak ada perkembangan signifikan yang disampaikan kepada publik, sementara keluarga terus menunggu kepastian hukum yang tak kunjung tiba.

Dalam kurun waktu hampir satu tahun, belum ada satu pun tersangka yang diumumkan. Tidak ada kejelasan tentang arah penyelidikan maupun hasil forensik yang dapat membuka tabir misteri kematian Julia Shinta Sangala.

Bagi keluarga korban, setiap hari terasa seperti menanggung luka yang sama. Mereka bukan hanya kehilangan anak, tetapi juga menghadapi ujian panjang melawan sistem hukum yang dinilai lambat dan tidak berpihak. Keadilan yang menjadi hak dasar warga seolah menjauh dan menjadi sesuatu yang sulit dijangkau.

Potret Suram Penegakan Hukum

Kasus ini bukan sekadar catatan kriminal di Gorontalo Utara. Ia merefleksikan wajah penegakan hukum di tingkat lokal yang tengah diuji. Ketika kasus pembunuhan dengan bukti dan peristiwa jelas tak kunjung menemukan titik terang selama hampir setahun, muncul pertanyaan besar tentang efektivitas dan keseriusan aparat dalam mengusut tuntas kejahatan.

Kondisi seperti ini tidak hanya melukai hati keluarga korban, tetapi juga menimbulkan kekhawatiran di tengah masyarakat. Rakyat perlu diyakinkan bahwa hukum benar-benar bekerja tanpa pandang bulu dan tidak terhambat oleh kepentingan apa pun.

Penulis Fikran Mohzen

Seruan dan Harapan

Kasus kematian Julia Shinta Sangala adalah panggilan moral bagi semua pihak. Masyarakat, pemerhati hukum, dan organisasi sipil diharapkan ikut mengawasi jalannya penyidikan agar berjalan transparan dan akuntabel.

Polres Gorontalo Utara diminta untuk memberikan penjelasan terbuka kepada publik terkait progres kasus. Keluarga korban berhak mendapatkan kepastian, bukan sekadar janji lanjutan proses penyidikan tanpa hasil yang jelas.

Sebagai bangsa yang menjunjung keadilan, tragedi ini tidak boleh dilupakan. Nama Julia Shinta Sangala harus terus diingat, bukan hanya sebagai korban, tetapi juga sebagai simbol perjuangan akan kebenaran di tengah sistem hukum yang lamban.

Keadilan mungkin tertunda, tetapi perjuangan untuk memperjuangkannya tidak boleh berhenti.

Keadilan untuk Julia.

Penulis
(Fikran Mohzen)

Continue Reading

Gorontalo

Alarm Bahaya! PLTU Anggrek Diduga Buang Limbah Berbahaya ke Udara

Published

on

Aktivis Provinsi Gorontalo, Isjayanto H. Doda.

Gorontalo – Aktivis Provinsi Gorontalo, Isjayanto H. Doda, memberikan peringatan keras kepada Pemerintah Daerah Kabupaten Gorontalo Utara (Gorut) agar segera mengambil langkah tegas terkait masalah Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) di PLTU Anggrek yang diduga tidak berfungsi secara optimal.

Menurut penjelasan Isjayanto, limbah Fly Ash dan Bottom Ash (FABA) hasil pembakaran batu bara di PLTU tersebut diketahui mengandung zat logam berat yang membahayakan kesehatan manusia jika terpapar dalam jangka panjang.

“Jika sistem ESP PLTU Anggrek saat ini tidak berjalan baik, maka polusi udara dari FABA bisa dengan mudah terhirup oleh masyarakat sekitar. Ini sangat berbahaya jika partikel tersebut masuk ke paru-paru,” tegas Isjayanto dalam pernyataannya.

Ia menyoroti adanya ancaman serius yang mengintai masyarakat apabila kondisi ini dibiarkan berlarut-larut tanpa penanganan. Menghirup FABA, lanjutnya, dapat menimbulkan gangguan pernapasan serta dampak kesehatan jangka panjang bagi warga sekitar.

“Pemerintah daerah harus menunjukkan langkah konkret demi menjaga keselamatan dan kesehatan rakyat,” tegasnya lagi.

Isjayanto juga meminta Pemda Gorut untuk tidak berlindung di balik keterbatasan kewenangan dan justru mengabaikan tugas utama dalam melindungi masyarakat.

“Kalau dari sisi kewenangan dianggap kurang memadai, maka temukanlah solusi lain. Jangan hanya pasrah dan menyerah! Keselamatan masyarakat harus menjadi prioritas utama — Salus Populi Suprema Lex Esto,” bebernya.

Ia bahkan menilai, jika hingga kini belum ada tindakan nyata dari pemerintah daerah, patut diduga ada ketidakberpihakan terhadap keselamatan publik.

“Bupati, OPD, hingga Forkopimda harus segera turun langsung ke lapangan. Jangan menunggu jatuhnya korban. Ancaman polusi udara akibat FABA ini nyata dan dampaknya bisa semakin buruk jika dibiarkan terus-menerus,” tutup Isjayanto.

Continue Reading

Gorontalo Utara

Angka Fantastis! 1000 Triliun Uang Negara Hilang Setiap Tahun dari Transaksi Gelap Ekspor

Published

on

Menguak tabir ekspor Indonesia, terkuak praktik manipulasi transaksi melalui under dan over invoicing yang menyebabkan kerugian negara hingga ribuan triliun rupiah setiap tahun. Dalam podcast Forum Keadilan TV, ekonom sekaligus peneliti Lingkar Studi Perjuangan, Gede Sandra, mengurai bagaimana modus gelap ini terjadi.

Menjelaskan di hadapan host Margi Syarif, Gede Sandra menegaskan dua bentuk utama praktik: “Jadi ini dalam istilah resminya itu namanya misinicing. Misinvoicing iya artinya invoice yang tidak tepatlah kira-kira gitu. Oke. Dan kejadiannya itu ada dua jenis misinicing ini. Yang pertama under invoicing. Oke. Artinya nilainya di bawah dari nilai sebenarnya gitu. Under kan. Dimurah-murahin. Dimurah-murahin. Oke. Yang kedua, over invoicing. Dimahal-mahalin kebalikannya. Oke.”​

Modus under invoicing biasanya dipakai untuk mengurangi beban pajak dan kewajiban lainnya dengan cara melaporkan nilai ekspor lebih kecil dibandingkan nilai sesungguhnya di negara tujuan. Sementara over invoicing lekat dengan upaya memindahkan dana secara ilegal keluar negeri lewat transaksi yang nilainya justru dilebihkan. Praktik ini bukan barang baru, telah berlangsung secara konsisten selama 10 tahun terakhir di pemerintahan Presiden Joko Widodo menurut hasil penelitian LSP dan pendataan Next Indonesia.​

Pendekatan manipulasi ini kerap menyasar komoditas primadona seperti batu bara, minyak sawit, minyak bumi, hingga logam mulia. Data Dirjen Pajak Kemenkeu terbaru mengungkap temuan 25 wajib pajak pada 2025 menggunakan under invoicing pada ekspor limbah sawit (POME), dengan total transaksi Rp 2,08 triliun. Potensi kerugian negara diperkirakan mencapai Rp 140 miliar hanya dari satu komoditas tersebut.​

Lebih jauh, peneliti menyatakan, Dua data ini dibandingkan dan selisihnya inilah yang dianggap ini gelap yang kemudian memunculkan Jadilah angka 1000 triliun. Indikasi klasik under invoicing adalah ketika catatan ekspor Indonesia jauh lebih kecil daripada data impor negara tujuan—hal ini kerap muncul di audit lembaga internasional seperti Global Financial Integrity.​​

Kekurangan koordinasi antarinstansi seperti Bea Cukai, Kementerian Perdagangan, dan Ditjen Pajak menajamkan celah manipulasi, sehingga pengawasan masih lemah dan potensi kebocoran makin besar. Bimo Wijayanto, Dirjen Pajak, menegaskan, “Kami deteksi di tahun 2025 itu ada sekitar 25 wajib pajak pelaku ekspor yang menggunakan modus yang sama. Ini masih dugaan dari 25 pelaku tersebut setidaknya total transaksinya itu sekitar Rp 2,08 triliun. Jadi, potensi kerugian negara kami estimasi dari Rp 2,08 triliun dari sisi pajak itu sekitar Rp 140 miliar,” ujarnya dalam konferensi pers di Jakarta Utara.​

Forum Keadilan TV dan LSP menegaskan urgensi reformasi agar Indonesia tak terus dirugikan melalui praktik manipulasi faktur transaksi lintas negara. Jika tak segera diatasi, kerugian negara bakal semakin menganga, menunda pembenahan ekonomi rakyat.

Continue Reading

Facebook

Terpopuler